Saturday, July 18, 2020

UMass Football News--July 18th, 2020

Amid all the doom-and-gloom for college football, there is some good news on UMass' recruiting efforts. The latest iteration of 247Sports' recruiting rankings has UMass at #97. The Minutemen have six three-star recruits and two two-star. This is a good start on a critical recruiting class. The coaching staff landed the largest ever number of three star recruits ever in the 2020 class.

Four recruiting classes with 20+ three star recruits took Western Michigan from a 0-12 season to a New Years' Day bowl.

I added up all the Group-of-Five schools and there were 60 league teams. Add Army, UMass, Liberty and New Mexico State and that makes 64 teams. There are 130 recruiting slots and the Power Five dominate in the top half. If some Power Five teams drop below #65 and some Group-of-Five rise above the half way rank, UMass is probably competing in the 70 to 130 rankings. UMass needs recruiting classes ranked between say 80 to 100 to stop having 2-10 seasons.

I think UMass will probably take 18 to 20 recruits in the 2021 recruiting cycle. The current totals are a good start.

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Auburn loses another 2020 opponent as the SWAC cancels Fall sports.

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The Atlantic Ten cancels all Fall Sports.

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NJ.com reports Rutgers is looking at a $50 million hole if the Big Ten does not play football.

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Eleven Warriors says college football will have to adapt if they follow the NCAA guidelines.

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The Deseret News thinks it will take a medical miracle for college football to play.

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A Point to Ponder: the above graph has been included in a number of press articles on college football. Readers should be clear on what it represents.

The graph is infection rates per million. The current testing is showing a positive test rate of 0.07%. That's seven hundredths of one percent. The uptick on the graph is 0.01%. That's not exactly the Black Death and it's probably well within the error bars in the testing results.

In addition, two of the "hot" spots are Florida and Arizona. Florida has a huge number of retirees (read old people) and Arizona has been the place to move to for people with respiratory ailments for the last 100 years. The population being tested in those two states may not be typical. Is the NCAA's graph meaningful for young, healthy football players?

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